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(Dreamstime)

Alberta’s population could grow by up to 3 million by 2046

Jul 19, 2021 | 2:46 PM

LETHBRIDGE, AB – Better start building more houses now – Alberta is set to welcome millions of more people over the next 25 years.

The provincial government has released its population projections for 2021-2046.

In its medium-growth scenario, which is pegged as the most likely, they estimate that Alberta will grow from 4.4 million residents in 2020 to 6.4 million by 2046, marking an increase of just over 45 per cent.

The low-growth scenario puts the population at 5.6 million, while the one for high-growth pins down over 7.4 million people.

Under medium-growth, 54 per cent of the change will come from international migration, 31 per cent from natural increases, and 15 per cent from interprovincial migration.

As the baby boomer generation continues to enter retirement, the province predicts that the number of seniors will double.

Several graphs were provided by the government, two of which show how the population will change in different geographic areas.

For CD2, which includes Lethbridge, population growth due to natural increases under the medium scenario will be around 12.1 per cent, slightly less than the provincial average of 13.6 per cent.

With net migration, however, the number of people residing in CD2 will go up by 22 per cent, still less than Alberta’s average of 30.4 per cent.

“CD 2, which includes the City of Lethbridge, is an economically diverse region with industries such as agriculture, government and manufacturing. This puts the region in a better position to cope with an economic recession when compared with some other regions of the province. CD 2 has become an increasingly attractive destination for migrants and their families, as well as for young adults due to its postsecondary institutions,” reads a section of the population projections document.

“Given its relatively young age structure and higher-than-average fertility, CD 2 has the potential for continued future growth. There has also been an uptick in renewable resource development, which should support growth in the short term.”

(Government of Alberta)
(Government of Alberta)

More details on the 2021-2046 population projects can be found in the links below:

Infographic

Report

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